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ilqdty daily2 min readRead the latest

korea's main stock index fell 8% at the open and trading stopped for 20 minutes

Source

bitcoin barely moved overnight, and that's the part i care about going into the jobs report.

Share on X
MarketsLevel24hweek
$BTC76,154+0.1%-1.5%
$ETH2242.2+0.2%-0.1%
$SOL90.4+1.3%-6.1%
BTC.D59.9%
F&G28 fear

01Crypto4 stories

02Macro2 stories

04Today2 stories

  • 8:30am ET: the US jobs report for october. forecast is around 59,000 new jobs with unemployment at 4.2%. it's the last big number the fed sees before deciding on a december hike
  • bitcoin's daily close against $75,446, what strategy paid on average for its bitcoin

05My view

US stock futures were down 4.29% this morning and the fear index dropped 22 points. bitcoin ended the night about where it started. when stocks get hit like that and crypto holds, there are buyers on the crypto side.

the slower news is good too. samsung is putting dollars on solana inside phones people already own, and solana labs shipped leap, its own app for stocks and crypto, the same week (Decrypt).

the risk is the jobs report. monday's read still holds: a strong number makes a december hike almost certain. stablecoin supply shrank again over the week to $293.7B, so no fresh money has come in to soak up a bad print. the second risk is a bitcoin daily close under strategy's average price.

im still bullish. bitcoin held up on a day stocks didn't, and that matters more to me than one jobs number.

payrolls first thing, then the daily close. lock in.