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netanyahu asked for a blockchain plan to prepare israel for possible banking sanctions

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a government drafting crypto as its backup for banking is the story i'd pick from this week.

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MarketsLevel24hweek
$BTC80,685-0.6%-0.9%
$ETH2371.1-0.6%-1.3%
$SOL101.7-1.0%-1.6%
BTC.D60.1%
F&G51 neutral

01Crypto3 stories

02Macro2 stories

04Week ahead3 dates

  • tuesdaythe fed's two-day meeting starts
  • wednesday 2pm ETthe fed decides. a hold is expected, so the question is whether oil above $110 brings a december hike signal
  • fridaythe bank of japan decides (thursday night ET), with the yen near 158 per dollar

05My view

stocks fell friday as oil climbed, and bitcoin ended the week close to flat. a market that holds steady through a six-month oil high has buyers under it, and this week's news came from institutions putting regulated products onchain.

the risk i'm tracking is oil leaking into everyday prices. stablecoin supply shrank 0.68% this week to $302.8B, so the fresh cash that usually funds a rally is thinner, and wednesday is the date it resolves. i can't tell yet how much oil the fed is willing to look past.

a hike signal with the ten-year back above 5% would change my read. a plain hold gives this week's buyers room to keep going.

rest today. three central banks and the busiest earnings week of the season are next. monday we lock tf in.