Runner Radar

ilqdty daily2 min readRead the latest

pumpfun earned more in fees than hyperliquid in the last reported day, $1.58M to $1.57M

now it sells hyperliquid's perps inside its own app, and of everything this weekend that partnership is the story i care about.

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MarketsLevel24hweek
$BTC82,166+0.9%-1.9%
$ETH2424.2+0.9%-4.4%
$SOL104.2+0.7%-6.4%
BTC.D60.1%
F&G53 neutral

01Crypto3 stories

02Macro3 stories

04Week ahead4 dates

  • mondaychina's third-quarter GDP, forecast near 4.4% against a 4.5 to 5% target, plus september factory output and retail sales
  • wednesdaytesla reports after the close, webcast at 5:30 pm ET
  • thursday 8:30 am ETUS weekly jobless claims
  • friday 9:45 am EToctober flash PMIs, then the final michigan survey with its inflation expectations. no fed speakers all week

05My view

bitcoin lost the least of any big coin this week and its dominance kept climbing. the money that stayed in crypto went to the safest coin and to the apps that actually earn fees. pumpfun and hyperliquid are two of the few businesses here that pay their holders, and they just started selling each other's products.

the risk i'm tracking is the fees themselves. hyperliquid's last day came in 46% below its 30d average, and pumpfun's weekly fees fell from $16.2M to $13.7M. traders are placing fewer bets, and the next leg up needs them back.

what changes my mind is friday. if the PMIs and michigan's inflation number come in hot with oil where it closed, the fed meeting on the 28th starts getting priced as a hike and a slow week turns into a selling week.

until then i lean constructive. funding is flat, so nobody is crowded on either side, and the platforms with real revenue spent a red week shipping.

rest today. china monday, tesla wednesday, PMIs friday. monday we lock tf in.